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Data sources & attribution

Jeff Sackmann / Tennis Abstract (CC BY-NC-SA 4.0) · Valuebetennis, Tennis results and odds since 2021 (CC BY 4.0) · Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0) · nflverse (CC BY 4.0) · UFCStats via scrape_ufc_stats · UFC.com rankings · ESPN · Kalshi · FanDuel · Open-Meteo (CC BY 4.0)

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NFLGames

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Board Games Defense Search

Commanders at Falcons

Week 4 · 2025

Props Odds Matchup Injuries Trends H2H

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Game context & data updates

Final

Commanders2-1

27

Falcons1-2

34

Sun 1:00p · O/U 43.5 (close) · Implied WAS 20.5, ATL 23 · Roof closed

Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Roof closed · Turf

Data coverageStats through Super BowlUpdating on schedule: No lines yetUpdating on schedule: Kalshi 8 min agoView sources

Players in this game

Search players

Commanders

QBMarcus Mariota(line posted)RBChris Rodriguez Jr.(line posted)WRDeebo Samuel Sr.(line posted)WRChris Moore(line posted)WRJaylin Lane(line posted)TEZach Ertz(line posted)KMatt Gay(line posted)TEBen Sinnott(line posted)LBBobby Wagner(line posted)TEColson Yankoff(line posted)DLDaron Payne(line posted)DLDorance Armstrong(line posted)LBFrankie Luvu(line posted)RBJacory Croskey-Merritt(line posted)QBJayden Daniels(line posted)RBJeremy McNichols(line posted)WRLuke McCaffrey(line posted)DBMike Sainristil(line posted)WRNoah Brown(line posted)WRTerry McLaurin(line posted)LBAle Kaho DBAntonio Hamilton DBDarnell Savage DLEddie Goldman DLJacob Martin DLJalyn Holmes DLJavon Kinlaw DLJavontae Jean-Baptiste DLJer'Zhan Newton DBJeremy Reaves LBJordan Magee LBKain Medrano DBMarshon Lattimore LBNick Bellore DBNoah Igbinoghene DBQuan Martin WRTay Martin DBTrey Amos DBTyler Owens LBVon Miller

Falcons

QBMichael Penix Jr.(line posted)RBBijan Robinson(line posted)WRDrake London(line posted)WRCasey Washington(line posted)WRDarnell Mooney(line posted)TEKyle Pitts(line posted)KJohn Parker Romo TECharlie Woerner(line posted)TEFeleipe Franks(line posted)LBJalon Walker(line posted)WRJamal Agnew(line posted)DBJessie Bates(line posted)LBKaden Elliss(line posted)DBMike Hughes(line posted)WRRay-Ray McCloud(line posted)TETeagan Quitoriano(line posted)RBTyler Allgeier(line posted)LBArnold Ebiketie DBBilly Bowman Jr.DLBrandon Dorlus DBClark Phillips III DLDavid Onyemata WRDavid Sills LBDeAngelo Malone DBDee Alford DBDeMarcco Hellams LBDivine Deablo LBJames Pearce Jr.LBJD Bertrand LBJosh Woods DLLaCale London DLLeonard Floyd DBMike Ford DBNatrone Brooks DLRuke Orhorhoro DBXavier Watts DLZach Harrison

ZE

Zach Ertz

TE · WAS · @ ATL · Sun 1:00p

Receiving yardsover 43.5

Posted: ESPN BET o 43.5

10 games · Tap a game for details

Historical hit rate

40%

4 of 10 games

Average

43.6

yds

Median

33

yds

Missat 43.5

vs LVW 41–24

2025 W3 · Sep 21, 2025 · 30 snaps · 52%

3 tgt · 3 rec · 38 yds · long 19 · aDOT 11.0

Historical line 34.5 · HitQB Marcus MariotaGame page

38

yds

Alternate lines

Over · L10

vs ATL · TEs

2025 season to date · 3 games · small · 32 = allows the most

Receiving yards · Per game

16.0#2

Recent TEs vs ATL

Tremble W316no lineno line
Sanders W311line 24.5miss
Evans W39no lineno line
Hockenson W212line 40.5miss
Otton W10line 33.5miss
Tremble 2024 W1830no lineno line

Usage

L5 · season

Targets

7.45.3

Target share

21%18%

aDOT

7.17.5

Snap %

71%69%

History since 2023.