UFC Fight Research · MachProp

Significant strikes

No line posted

Nurgozhay · 3 fights

Hit rate · L10

33%

1 of 3 · likely 11–68%

avg 39.3 sig · median 17

24.4 per 5 min over 24 min

Mar 7, 2026 · vs Rafael Tobias

Won · Unanimous decision · R3 5:00 · 3 rds · closed 38 %

94 sig vs 17.5 · hit

Round by round
Rd	Sig	Tot	TD	KD	Sub	Ctrl	Opp
1	36/57	36	0/0	0	0	0:18	10
2	27/46	32	0/0	0	0	1:03	16
3	31/40	32	0/1	0	0	0:07	13

What Lopes allows

Lopes's opponents landed 17.5+ significant strikes in 2 of 3 (likely 32–89 %) · L10
They averaged 37.0 sig · 21.4 per 5 min

Compare alternate lines

Alt lines

Over · L10